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C and D 2A PowerPoints (unofficial)


BearDawg
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46 minutes ago, UVAObserver said:

You're correct, it is.  It's also mathmatically possible for UVA to go 13-1 this season but that ain't a happenin', either.  And I think JSB makes this whole point moot come next Saturday morning.

Well, your words.... "No chance whatsoever..." would indicate that it is factually impossible. However, there is a "chance." That's all I was saying. Had you said, "I don't think it will happen", then I would have agreed with you.

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1 hour ago, Bearcat Dad said:

For those more in the know than I am, does a 9-1 VHS team out point a 9-1 Union team if that loss for Union were to come against Abingdon? Just curious if they were to not get the 3A win points, if that would be enough, if VHS wins out.

Edit; Another scenario out of my own curiosity. With the same 9-1 records, what if Union's hypothetical loss were to come to (IMO) the most underrated team in the region JSB, a team VHS has already beaten?

Yes, they would. It is also possible that a 9-1 Va High could outpoint a 10-0 Union as well. Letcher is really dragging Union down.

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2 minutes ago, Union_Fan said:

Yes, they would. It is also possible that a 9-1 Va High could outpoint a 10-0 Union as well. Letcher is really dragging Union down.

Thanks! I've never taken the time to fully understand the point system. I need to. I was just curious how a best case scenario for VHS would work out. They've had the best start to one of their seasons in 15 years but 9-1 would be a monumental task for them with still having to play @ Graham, Marion, and @ Richlands, who could be fighting for their playoff lives in week 11

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3 hours ago, Union_Fan said:

Yes, they would. It is also possible that a 9-1 Va High could outpoint a 10-0 Union as well. Letcher is really dragging Union down.

Then 9-1 Graham could outpoint 10-0 Union as well. Graham would add wins over Marion and VHS, combined at 10-1 or 9-1 right now. Union would add wins over 3A Abingdon, a shit Wise team and a good JSB team. Union desperately needs Richlands to defeat both VHS and Marion, take some points away and add a few more for Unions win. Is Morristown West projected to win many more games?

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1 hour ago, EH31 said:

@Union_Fan hypothetically speaking - say Richlands ends up 4-6.. do they make it in? 

Entirely possible depending on what Grayson Co does their last 3 games. If Grayson fails to win at least 2 of their last 3 games then a 4-6 Richlands would most likely get in as the 8th seed. Could go as high as 7.

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30 minutes ago, BigWinners said:

Then 9-1 Graham could outpoint 10-0 Union as well. Graham would add wins over Marion and VHS, combined at 10-1 or 9-1 right now. Union would add wins over 3A Abingdon, a shit Wise team and a good JSB team. Union desperately needs Richlands to defeat both VHS and Marion, take some points away and add a few more for Unions win. Is Morristown West projected to win many more games?

Yes, a 9-1 Graham can absolutely outpoint a 10-0 Union. It sucks, but it is what it is. Mo West has DB, Science Hill, and Knox Bearden left. They might beat Bearden, but for projection purposes I'm giving them losses for each of those.

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22 minutes ago, Union_Fan said:

Entirely possible depending on what Grayson Co does their last 3 games. If Grayson fails to win at least 2 of their last 3 games then a 4-6 Richlands would most likely get in as the 8th seed. Could go as high as 7.

Sad

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27 minutes ago, Union_Fan said:

Yes, a 9-1 Graham can absolutely outpoint a 10-0 Union. It sucks, but it is what it is. Mo West has DB, Science Hill, and Knox Bearden left. They might beat Bearden, but for projection purposes I'm giving them losses for each of those.

Is a 9-1 Graham likely to outpoint a 10-0 union or do certain things have to happen for that to be the case?

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30 minutes ago, Unionguy_2017 said:

Is a 9-1 Graham likely to outpoint a 10-0 union or do certain things have to happen for that to be the case?

As I have it now, a 10-0 Union will finish 2 pts ahead of a 9-1 Graham. Burton will most likely lose the Grundy game. If they lose to Castlewood too and Giles were to beat Glenvar then that's a 4 pt swing and puts Graham ahead 2 pts. It will be so close between a 10-0 Union and a 9-1 Ridgeview, Graham, or Va High that all it will take is a team or two to win a game they shouldn't or isn't expected to for Union to fall to #2.

I throw this out there too...As I have it now a 9-1 Va High would finish 2 pts ahead of 10-0 Union.

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1 hour ago, Union_Fan said:

Entirely possible depending on what Grayson Co does their last 3 games. If Grayson fails to win at least 2 of their last 3 games then a 4-6 Richlands would most likely get in as the 8th seed. Could go as high as 7.

Grayson would be exceedingly lucky to win 1 of those (Fort, GW, Galax).  Some high seed is going to be royally ticked to host Richlands in Week 1.  Given that Graham has a mental block against them, fate will probably select Graham.

 

2D is quite the animal this year.  Two great teams, 4-5 good teams, and a bunch of teams that should only be allowed in the postseason if they bought tickets to the game.

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5 minutes ago, UVAObserver said:

Grayson would be exceedingly lucky to win 1 of those (Fort, GW, Galax).  Some high seed is going to be royally ticked to host Richlands in Week 1.  Given that Graham has a mental block against them, fate will probably select Graham.

 

2D is quite the animal this year.  Two great teams, 4-5 good teams, and a bunch of teams that should only be allowed in the postseason if they bought tickets to the game.

Agreed. I have them losing all 3.

I know that Richlands may have been in Graham's head last year, but trust me, this is Graham's year against the Blues. It would take a complete meltdown for Graham to lose that game.

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1 minute ago, Union_Fan said:

Agreed. I have them losing all 3.

I know that Richlands may have been in Graham's head last year, but trust me, this is Graham's year against the Blues. It would take a complete meltdown for Graham to lose that game.

I hope you're right, but Graham is capable of it.  For the talent disparity there is this year, "mentally tough" and "precise" are not adjectives I would use to describe them.  I don't mean to say that Graham is a bunch of head cases, but when things don't go well for them, it tends to snowball whereas it wouldn't with a team like Union.

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Is it possible a 10-0 Union finishes behind a 9-1 Graham and 9-1 Marion? VHS and Graham both can't be 9-1 but Graham and Marion could. We need Burton to win a game or two and hopefully Richlands pulls off some upsets, as I have them losing at least 2/3 to VHS, GHS, MHS.

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59 minutes ago, UVAObserver said:

I hope you're right, but Graham is capable of it.  For the talent disparity there is this year, "mentally tough" and "precise" are not adjectives I would use to describe them.  I don't mean to say that Graham is a bunch of head cases, but when things don't go well for them, it tends to snowball whereas it wouldn't with a team like Union.

Rube gal says blue wind kick gram 

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Sorry for my delay as I ended up being very busy Friday night, hanging out in Charlottesville yesterday with UVAObserver and coming home and crashing last night and getting caught up today... 

1D Unofficial:

  1. Patrick Henry 18.28571
  2. Grundy 17.16667
  3. Castlewood 16
  4. Hurley 15.14286
  5. Chilhowie 14.66667
  6. Thomas Walker 14.57143
  7. Eastside 14.5
  8. Honaker 12.5
  9. Northwood 12
  10. J. I. Burton 12
  11. Holston 11.28571
  12. Twin Valley 9.85714
  13. Rye Cove 8
  14. Twin Springs 7.33333

1C Unofficial:

  1. Narrows 19.5
  2. Galax 18.83333
  3. George Wythe 17.5
  4. Covington 15.33333
  5. Bland County 13.16667
  6. Parry McCluer 13
  7. Auburn 12.14286
  8. Eastern Montgomery 11.5
  9. Rural Retreat 10.83333
  10. Bath County 9
  11. Craig County 6.66667

3D Unofficial:

  1. Staunton River 26.66667
  2. Lord Botetourt 25.71429
  3. Magna Vista 21.83333
  4. Northside 21.14286
  5. Abingdon 20.14286
  6. Cave Spring 16.83333
  7. Alleghany 15.5
  8. Tunstall 15.16667
  9. Hidden Valley 14.66667
  10. Patrick County 14.33333
  11. Christiansburg 13.5

 

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On 10/7/2017 at 2:03 PM, BearDawg said:

This info was barrowed. 

 

1. Glenvar (7-0) 24.286
2. Giles (5-2) 21.000
3. Appomattox (4-1) 21.000
4. Floyd (6-1) 20.714
5. Gretna (6-1) 20.257
6. Dan River (4-2) 19.500
7. Fort Chiswell (4-2) 18.333
8. Martinsville (2-4) 16.500
9. Chatham (2-4) 13.500
10. James River (2-4) 13.500
11. Radford (1-6) 12.714
12. Buckingham (1-5) 12.333
13. Nelson (2-5) 12.000

1. Virginia (5-1) 23.167
2. Union (7-0) 23.143
3. Marion (7-0) 22.571
4. Graham (5-1) 21.167
5. Ridgeview (5-1) 21.167
6. John Battle (4-2) 19.667
7. Grayson (4-3) 18.000
8. Lee (3-3) 17.167
9. Richlands (2-4) 16.333
10. Central Wise (2-5) 15.000
11. Tazewell (2-5) 14.572
12. Lebanon (1-5) 12.500
13. Gate City (0-7) 12.285

Not sure about Giles-Appomattox tiebreaker they might be reversed and Graham Ridgeview would be by who scored most points. Checked my math four times because shocking Virginia on too in D. Loss was to Tennessee who still gives them 15 points compared to Unions 18 for Gate City win. Virginia beating 3a Abingdon was 30 points

 

 

VHS snuck in there. Nice job. Should be short lived as Union will take to top spot once it wins out the rest of its schedule. 

I have a few differences as far as averages go, but everyone is in the same place in both 2D and 2C as listed here.  Also, I don't include Nelson County in my 2C list because they're not playoff eligible.  So why bother worrying about them if they can't even compete past week 11.  Lol.

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3 hours ago, RCITYHOO said:

Maybe I'm understanding you wrong' but shouldn't Appo have the tie breaker?

Why should they have tiebreaker?

And me saying VHSL is stupid is in reference to someone that said a tie breaker is most points scored...how dumb is that for a tiebreaker? Coin flip is better than that

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VHSLs C and D points:

 

Region 2C

Glenvar 24.00000
Giles 21.00000
Appomattox 21.00000
Floyd Co. 20.71429
Gretna 20.28571
Dan River 19.66667
Fort Chiswell 18.33333
Martinsville 16.66667
James River (B) 13.50000
Chatham 13.50000
Radford 12.71429
Buckingham Co. 12.33333
Nelson County 11.71429

Region 2D

Virginia 23.16667
Union 22.85714
Marion 22.57143
Graham 21.16667
Ridgeview 20.83333
John Battle 19.66667
Grayson County 17.71429
Lee 17.50000
Richlands 16.33333
Central-Wise 15.14286
Tazewell 14.85714
Lebanon 12.50000
Gate City 12.14286

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