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Projections/Scenarios for 2016 Playoff Pairings


Union_Fan
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I completely forgot to factor in James River.

 

If Tazewell, Va High, and James River win.

 

11.) Gate City        5-5   196   19.6
12.) Lee                 6-4   194   19.4
13.) Floyd County  6-4   189   18.9
14.) John S. Battle 5-5   186   18.6
15.) James River   4-6   173   17.3
16.) Virginia High   3-7   173   17.3
17.) Tazewell         3-7   168   16.8
 
If Lebanon, Va High, and James River win
 
11.) Gate City        5-5   196   19.6
12.) Lee                 6-4   196   19.6
13.) Floyd County  6-4   189   18.9
14.) John S. Battle 5-5   188   18.8
15.) Lebanon         4-6   174   17.4
16.) James River   4-6   173   17.3
17.) Virginia High   3-7   172   17.2
 
If James River wins and Va High loses then the Tazewell/Lebanon winner will get in.
 
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Tie break for the richlands appo would come down to drawing a team out of a hat. And the other rules before that do not apply they have no common opponent or a common opponent of an opponent lol. Yeach it gets really crazy on tie breaks

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I completely forgot to factor in James River.

 

If Tazewell, Va High, and James River win.

 

11.) Gate City 5-5 196 19.6

12.) Lee 6-4 194 19.4

13.) Floyd County 6-4 189 18.9

14.) John S. Battle 5-5 186 18.6

15.) James River 4-6 173 17.3

16.) Virginia High 3-7 173 17.3

17.) Tazewell 3-7 168 16.8

 

If Lebanon, Va High, and James River win

 

 

11.) Gate City 5-5 196 19.6

12.) Lee 6-4 196 19.6

13.) Floyd County 6-4 189 18.9

14.) John S. Battle 5-5 188 18.8

15.) Lebanon 4-6 174 17.4

16.) James River 4-6 173 17.3

17.) Virginia High 3-7 172 17.2

 

If James River wins and Va High loses then the Tazewell/Lebanon winner will get in.

 

Factor in some Floyd County and Lee High wins. I don't see Lee losing to Va High and you never know, Floyd could pull the upset over Glenvar.

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Factor in some Floyd County and Lee High wins. I don't see Lee losing to Va High and you never know, Floyd could pull the upset over Glenvar.

I did some Lee winning scenarios in another post above. And I found Floyd winning so unlikely that I didn't bother, but this is what it would look like if they did.

 

If Tazewell, Lee, Floyd and James River win

 

6.) Martinsville       7-3   230   23
7.) Giles                 7-3   228   22.8
8.) Glenvar            7-3   218   21.8
9.) Marion             7-3   218   21.8
10.) Grundy          7-3   212   21.2
11.) Floyd County 7-3   207   20.7
12.) Lee                7-3   207   20.7
13.) Gate City       5-5   197   19.7
14.) John S. Battle 5-5   188   18.8
15.) James River  4-6   173   17.3
16.) Tazewell        3-7   167   16.7
17.) Gretna          3-7   163   16.3
 
If Floyd, Va High, Tazewell, and James River win.
 
6.) Martinsville     7-3   230   23
7.) Giles               7-3   228   22.8
8.) Marion           7-3   220   22
9.) Glenvar           7-3   218   21.8
10.) Grundy          7-3   212   21.2
11.) Floyd County 7-3   207   20.7
12.) Gate City       5-5   197   19.7
13.) Lee                6-4   194   19.4
14.) John S. Battle 5-5   187   18.7
15.) James River  4-6   173   17.3
16.) Virginia High  3-7   173   17.3
17.) Tazewell        3-7   168   16.8
 
I did Tazewell winning in all those because if Lebanon wins they will be in regardless of the other outcomes.
 
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I posted in the "ratings" thread before I had looked at this one... so, basically our only shot is hope we tie Gretna in the points and beat them on tiebreak somehow... correct?

Sure looks like it. Nothing I could think of gets Ridgeview in barring winning the tiebreaker with Gretna or Gretna losing.

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Top 4 is going to be interesting. Graham is going to be #1 or #2 depending on Appo. Grundy losing to Ridgeview hurt Richlands, and it may come down to Va High as to whether Richlands is #2 or #4 in a battle of 9-1 teams.

 

Appo will be #1 if they are 10-0, but them beating Amherst could impact Dan River's being the #3 or #4 seed.

 

Given the following games. Winner is in bold.

 

Appomattox - Buckingham/Prince Edward, Rustburg/EC Glass,Heritage/Liberty

Dan River - MagnaVista/GW(Danville) ,Bartlett Yancey/Graham(NC), Tunstall/Bassett, Martinsville/Patrick Co, Appo/Amherst

Richlands - Graham/Narrows, Va High/Lee, Union/Battle, Marion/Abingdon

 

 

1.) Appomattox 10-0   288   28.8

2.) Graham         9-1   279   27.9

3.) Richlands      9-1   271   27.1

4.) Dan River      9-1   270   27

 

Same games with Appo losing to Amherst

 

 

1.) Graham        9-1   279   27.9

2.) Richlands     9-1   271   27.1

3.) Appomattox  9-1   269   26.9

4.) Dan River     9-1   269   26.9

 

How could DR get the 3?

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Is it really that simple? Lee beats VHS, and DR is the 3?

DR needs Magna Vista to beat GW Danville, but yeah, a Lee win makes it possible for DR to be the 3. A VHS win and Richlands is the 3 (barring any crazy upsets elsewhere).

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How could DR get the 3?

Appo wins and Bartlett Yancey beats Graham, NC or Lee beats Va High. Would make Richlands #4.

 

OR

 

Appo loses and Barlett Yancey beats Graham, NC or EC Glass beats Rustburg. Would make Appo #4.

 

OR

 

Appo loses and Lee beats Va High and Marion beats Abingdon. Would make Richlands #4.

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That's how close points are this season. These last games could completely change all the seeds with the exception of Union

It is truly weird. Union is the only team that can't go anywhere regardless of the outcome of any game, including their own.

Unless Graham or DR lose, which isn't going to happen.

Edited by Union_Fan
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Is it just me, or does everyone else love checking the scores and going back to look on the message boards during that last Friday night trying to figure out who is going to face who the next week?

 

It's nice that GC is open, so we just get to pick a game of interest to go watch (stress free for the most part), follow some games on Twitter, and just watch the whole playoff picture develop.

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Is it just me, or does everyone else love checking the scores and going back to look on the message boards during that last Friday night trying to figure out who is going to face who the next week?

 

It's nice that GC is open, so we just get to pick a game of interest to go watch (stress free for the most part), follow some games on Twitter, and just watch the whole playoff picture develop.

I love that Richlands has their open week in week 11. Our work is down, just sit back and watch the chaos unfold.

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