Will the G-Men make the playoffs assuming a win over Narrows and a loss to FC

[BandanaVTDavis4321 1,717]

Anyone know if the G=MEN get in the dance?  I know, they may not go far in the playoffs or whatever.  I'm not asking as to how far they go or how far they don't go in the playoffs, I am simply asking if the make it with what is going to be a 5-5 record, and yes, they will beat Narrows and yes, they will lose to FC, so they will be 5 and 5.

[Jethro 113]

Depends on Lebanon, Virginia High, and Lee to doesn't it?

[Deleted Account 5,203]

Who are Lebanon's and Lee's opponents.  Might be able to determine more.

[Deleted Account 5,203]

Thanks to Beamerball for answering me indirectly:

 

Grayson County - Narrows, Galax
Graham - @ Fort Chiswell, @ Narrows

Lebanon - Richlands, @ Tazewell

-------------------------------------------------
Lee High - John Battle, @ Virgina High
Virginia High - Marion, Lee High
Grundy - @ Honaker, @ Richlands

 

Grayson finishes 1-1 at the worst, and will be safe.

Graham will finish 1-1, and looks safe.

Lebanon will finish 1-1 at best, and 0-2 wouldn't shock me.

Lee will finish 1-1 at best, and 0-2 wouldn't shock me.

Virginia high probably finishes 1-1, but 2-0 isn't out of the question.

Grundy will finish 0-2.

[Gunz9 71]

This is great site where you can track all teams.  Not sure who runs it or how it is all calculated but the site usually is updated early in the week.  I'm thinking Graham isn't' going to make it in without winning out.  Bland was winless and ranked last in Single A coming into last nights game and Narrows was ranked 27th before last nights loss.   

 

http://www.vhsl-reference.com/ratingsmainpage_gy.cfm?GY=2013&DIVISION=2

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[futbolking 766]

Galax will have to beat Grayson for Graham to have a chance..

[Deleted Account 5,203]

Galax will have to beat Grayson for Graham to have a chance..

 

Too pessimistic.

 

Most teams have 8 games to play.  Here is a list of teams with any reasonable chance to make it (note that Tazewell doesn't appear):

 

14. Grayson County - 140

15. Graham - 138

t-16. Lee High - 134

t-16. Lebanon - 134

18. Virginia High - 132

19. Grundy - 129

 

Here is the remaining schedule for all:

 

Grayson County - Narrows, Galax

Graham - @ Fort Chiswell, @ Narrows

Lebanon - Richlands, @ Tazewell

Lee High - John Battle, @ Virgina High

Virginia High - Marion, Lee High

Grundy - @ Honaker, @ Richlands

 

The calculations below exclude the effects of points accruing from teams already played.

 

Grayson will beat Narrows, which gives Grayson 16 + 2 + 6 points (assuming a Narrows loss to Graham), or 24 points

Grayson and Galax is a toss-up.  A win gives Grayson 16 + 2 + 10 points (assuming a Galax win over Bland), or 28 points.  A loss gives Grayson 4 + 2 + 6 points (same assumption), or 12 points.

 

Graham will lose to Fort Chiswell, which gives Graham 4 + 2 + 10 points (assuming Fort runs the table), or 16 points.

Graham will beat Narrows, which gives Graham 16 + 2 + 6 points (assuming a Narrows loss to Grayson), or 24 points.

 

Lebanon will lose to Richlands, which gives Lebanon 4 + 7 points (assuming Richlands wins out), or 11 points.

Lebanon and Tazewell is a toss-up.  A win gives  Lebanon 16 + 4 points (assuming a Tazewell loss to Abingdon), or 20 points.  A loss gives Lebanon (same assumption) 4 + 3 points, or 7 points.

 

Lee should lose to John Battle, which gives Lee 4 + 7 points (assuming a JSB loss to Union), or 11 points.

Lee and Virginia High is a toss-up favoring Virginia.  A win gives Lee 16 + 6 points (assuming a Virginia loss to Marion), or 22 points.  A loss gives Lee (same assumption) 4 + 4 points, or 8 points.

 

Virginia and Marion is a toss-up favoring Marion.  A win gives Virginia 16 + 12 points (assuming a Marion win over Abingdon), or 28 points.  A loss gives Virginia (same assumption) 4 + 7 points, or 11 points.

Virginia and Lee is a toss-up favoring Virginia.  A win gives Virginia 16 + 8 points (assuming a Lee loss to JSB), or 24 points.  A loss gives Virginia (same assumption) 4 + 5 points, or 9 points.

 

Grundy will lose to Honaker, which gives Grundy 4 + 2 + 10 points (assuming Honaker runs the table), or 16 points.

Grundy will lose to Richlands, which gives Grundy 4 + 7 points (assuming a Richlands win over Lebanon), or 11 points.

 

As you see, if events go as they should (read: "barring any incredible upsets, like Lee beating JSB"), Grayson and Graham are VERY safe.  Graham will AVERAGE 20 points in the last 2 contests, which will actually push their average higher.  Grayson has an even higher ceiling than that.  The only effect the Grayson/Galax game will have is that Graham will be bumped up to #14 if Grayson loses and will stay at #15 if Grayson wins.  That's it.  

 

Virginia High is the wild card here.  I think Virginia splits.  But if Virginia wins out, Virginia will leapfrog everyone else.  There's just too many points available for them, and not enough for everyone else.