Beamerball

Haha, love it. A westward shift (as some of us expected) with some of the models tonight on the 0z runs. GFS, NAM, and especially the NGM..that I've seen.

They've been consistently right the past few days...more times than not they are. People just remember a miss more than a do a correct, sunny day. The bigger systems are the more difficult, but they're also more rare. Of course not everyone has a job that's ever changing like the weather and has so much involved either.

Hmm.. http://www.accuweather.com/mt-news-blogs.asp?partner=accuweather&blog=Meteomadness&pgurl=/mtweb/content/Meteomadness/archives/2009/01/theory_on_why_models_made_big_shift_in_storm.asp The front is looking to push too far to the coast. It still may not be that far east, but its getting awfully late now for the usual westerward trend. As one said though, the south's biggest snow usually are the unexpected ones...and now that everyone is jumping off this one, that probably raises the chances, lol.

Just as it was early with the hype, it might be just a bit early for the people jumping off the bandwagon, although now most of the models are in agreement with this shift..and the closer you get, well... This thing has not been totally discounted by everyone just yet though. Almost always you will see the models shift west a day or so before its hits..and often will still be too far east. Still might not shift enough, but we'll see. This may be one of those times they don't do that though, knowing our luck. Of course, it could also be one of those that catches people off guard again (after the early letdown), like has happened. There's still a few who don't think this will go out to sea or be that far east. We'll see what tomorrow's trend brings now I guess. Then again, it could be even farther to the east, lol. Don't get excited days out on these things, just be aware of the potential. This thing hasn't even begun to take shape yet for that matter, harder to get a handle on in that case too. Gman, what's the earliest you usually can tell?

Today's models runs have taken it out farther east and off the coast, but, not surprisingly there's at least one trend back....the 18z NAM just brought it up west. Often they'll trend back westward as we get closer, so being well off to the east isn't necessarily a bad thing right now. Its funny watching how many were on it yesterday, are now jumping back off...too much relying on that. As Gman pointed out, they've not ruled it out yet, just even more uncertain now. Wouldn't be surprised for this to come back farther west as it often does. But, either way, Gman is right on it. Up the east side..boom. Out to sea..ah, not so much, lol. Hope the two meet up right and can phase with each other.

Taken as most of the models are showing now, this would one of the big ones like we haven't seen in some time. Some trying to compare the projected strength of the storm to the '93 Blizzard. It still showing up as an eastern slope tracking storm and staying fairly well to the south, which is good. The NWS in Morristown mentions the possibility for it to start as rain or a mix, but they also remind that if it pulls to the east and bombs out near us then even with a light mix to start, when the heavier precip begins you can get the dynamic cooling process, if its strong enough, and the rapid changeover. That's a process we've seen in the past big snows too...'98 a key example. Also looks like winds will be strong...if it intensifies near us and with the winds, we could be in that blizzard area. I think its quite early for they hype too, but the models have really been consistent so far, and the longer it shows up, its harder to ignore the chances, haha. I know people over in KY are worried because they've still not recovered over there and still have plenty of ice and snow left. Things look really good for now and the pattern is changing, usually a big storm will accompany that. We are due also. Who knows?

Well if they did go through with it (the 5 division model that is), and assuming that they choose the 450-800 or so set for Div.2 (which I don't they're set on the breakdown yet either) and assuming Grundy falls in that range as now...then they would go into Div. 2. Each of the 5 divisions are to be divided into four sections (kind of like regions are now). So they would into this area's section. Using the presentation, that would be "section A"...and in the western super section (two super sections, east and west for each division). Based on current figures (although they're also not sure what set of numbers they'll be using), Div. 2 would look something like this.. Div. 2 (451-800) Eastern Super Section Section D Greensville Co. Nottoway Bluestone Brunswick Warhill Bruton Arcadia Nandua Northampton Essex Lancaster Northumberland Washington & Lee King William Matthews Windsor Park View (SH) Section C Goochland Thomas Jefferson Maggie Walker Warren County Wilson Memorial Clarke Co. Madison Co. Manassas Park George Mason Strasburg Buffalo Gap Central (W) East Rockingham (2010)* Jackson Stonewall-Q Luray Page County Nelson Co. Western Super Section Section B Central (Lunenburg) Amelia County Fort Defiance Stuarts Draft Riverheads Cumberland Randolph-Henry Buckingham Co. Appomattox Chatham Dan River Gretna James River Floyd Co. Glenvar Section A Martinsville Giles Radford Fort Chiswell Grayson Co. Patrick Henry (GS) Graham Grundy Richlands Tazewell John Battle Gate City Lebanon Virginia J.J. Kelly Powell Valley Of course, that could all change too (that's the way the presentation had things broken down for now). And some have drifted back and forth, like Lee, so they could end up in Div. 3 or Div. 2, depending on how things work out. They've said in the forums that may freeze the current districts for a couple of years or so while going to this format. Look at it like football and basketball with teams within different divisions within the district, and come postseason time they enter their division for the playoffs. The sections can decide how teams will advance into postseason play. So it could be like the current process. The "overall record" and others were just examples given. But it does look like they want to eventually get away from district play. Once regular season is up, the teams go on to the Sectional playoffs..the Sectional champs move on to the two Super Sectionals (ex. winner of section D would play the winner of section C and Section B champ would play the Section A champ), the winners there would play for the state title. Hope I explained all that correctly. Again, some of it could change..still have another vote, some more discussion, and the a "final" vote. They've also mentioned other models for discussion (like 6 division).

As posted on the other page....there's a question and answer type forum summary on here... http://www.vhsl.org/MoreAboutVHSL/RR.htm

Looks like they'll have the final vote on it in May. That would probably be a section (one of four across the state). From what I've read most are wanting to keep the current districts in place and they've said they're considering freezing them maybe for a cycle. There's a power point presentation and a summary of the meetings they've held, here... http://www.vhsl.org/MoreAboutVHSL/RR.htm

I believe these are a little more current... http://www.vhsl.org/MoreAboutVHSL/0911adoptedplan.doc

Yeah, every one of them showed up. Wasn't much of anything there on the mods forum that hadn't been said on the actual forum though, lol. Don't know why people were surprised there was one anyway? The topics were in reverse order too, but there was a display option at the top that sort of fixed that a bit. Try logging in as imported_[your usernamen here]. You can go over the help desk and they should be able to fix it and get the imported part off.

So they would just point the gun at him???

http://www.roanoke.com/news/breaking/wb/191909

This was posted a couple or so years back I think, but here's an outdoor forum for Southwest Virginia and the area for anyone interested... http://hunter316.proboards45.com/index.cgi

Hostboard moved to a new server and made some changes, and when they came back online they had trouble with getting the LPD board back up (something about it being an older version and such), then had to import everything over. They've gotten in back up but still working on some things. Everyone who's tried their old logins has received the "banned messaged". Appears there's a problem with that too, and they're working on it. Some have just registered again until that's fixed. Not sure if it already has been. All that mess is explained some in a couple of threads here: http://www.hostboard.com/forums/project-1/ I think there should be a redirect to the new location but it just takes some to the main hostboard site still. Direct link: http://www.hostboard.com/forums/lpd-forums/ or http://www.hostboard.com/forums/forumdisplay.php?f=1430 If one of those links don't take you directly to it, just find the recreation & leisure tab (on the main site) then scroll down to sports and the LPD forums are over on the bottom right.

Hostboard changed servers and when they opened things back up they some problems with the LPD board (being an older version and such, can't remember what all they said). So they had to import the forum over. Its still in a bit of mess currently. Everyone has gotten the "banned message" when trying to login with their old user names. Apparently there was a problem there too and they're working on that. Some have just registered again until that's solved. Looks like they've still got some work to do on it. That mess is explained a bit in a couple of threads here: http://www.hostboard.com/forums/project-1/ There's supposed to be a redirect the forum but for some at least it takes you to hostboard's main site. Direct link: http://www.hostboard.com/forums/lpd-forums/

BOYS Group A Record Pts 1. Madison County (8) 13-0 96 2. Surry County (1) 9-1 73 3. Radford (1) 10-3 66 4. Appomattox 11-2 48 5. Dan River 10-2 47 6. Buffalo Gap 10-1 45 7. Lebanon 10-1 39 8. Lancaster 8-0 38 9. Colonial Beach 9-2 29 10. Eastern Montgomery 10-1 27 Others receiving votes: Essex 15. Gate City 11. James River-Buchanan 11. West Point 4. Twin Valley 1. Group AA Record Pts 1. Courtland (10) 11-0 100 2. Spotswood 11-1 83 3. Handley 10-1 79 4. R.E. Lee-Staunton 9-1 77 5. Charlottesville 10-2 46 6. Cave Spring 10-3 31 7. Broad Run 11-2 29 8. Liberty-Bedford 10-3 28 9. Brookville 6-2 24 10. Brunswick 6-3 18 Others receiving votes: Dominion 13. Potomac Falls 9. Western Albemarle 5. Pulaski County 3. Tabb 2. Monticello 2. Greensville County 1. GIRLS Group A Record Pts 1. Floyd County (5) 11-1 91 2. Buffalo Gap (1) 8-1 87 3. West Point (4) 10-0 85 4. Strasburg 11-2 64 5. Radford 10-2 58 6. Auburn 10-3 38 7. George Mason 10-4 28 8. Lancaster 6-3 22 9. Franklin 5-3 18 10. Lee High 8-3 16 Others receiving votes: Wilson Memorial 12. Bland County 11. Honaker 7. Randolph Henry 5. Page County 3. Luray 2. Appomattox 2. Virginia High 1. Group AA Record Pts 1. Turner Ashby (10) 10-0 100 2. Spotswood 10-1 71 3. Brookville 8-1 51 4. Greensville County 10-2 46 T5. Loudoun County 10-2 36 T5. Millbrook 10-1 36 7. Freedom (South Riding) 10-2 33 T8. Bruton 9-1 32 T8. Blacksburg 10-3 32 10. R.E. Lee-Staunton 7-3 30 Others receiving votes: James Monroe 29. Staunton River 23. Fluvanna 13. Charlottesville 10. Lord Botetourt 4. Harrisonburg 2. Salem 2.

Battle won 61-50

Sounds like he can speak honestly and unbiasedly, unlike many you see around here. But oh, that just doesn't go along with today's attitudes. ;)

77-65 http://tricitiessports.com/default.asp?sourceid=&smenu=74&twindow=Default&mad=No&sdetail=31552&wpage=1&skeyword=&sidate=&ccat=&ccatm=&restate=&restatus=&reoption=&retype=&repmin=&repmax=&rebed=&rebath=&subname=&pform=&sc=1131&hn=tricitiessports&he=.com

Appalachia December 5 Rye Cove Home W, 69-39 December 9 Jenkins, KY Away W, 62-50 December 10 Coeburn Home W, 42-38 December 16 Twin Springs Away W, 56-46 December 19 Rye Cove Away W, 69-24 December 26 Coal Classic vs. Lee High Away W, 49-42 December 29 Coal Classic vs. Harlan (Ind.), KY Away W, 61-48 December 30 Coal Classic vs. Powell Valley (championship) Away W, 37-31 January 7 Jenkins, KY Home W, 70-34 January 9 J.I. Burton Away* January 13 Clintwood Home* January 16 Powell Valley Away* January 20 J.J. Kelly Home* January 23 Pound Away* January 24 Twin Springs Home January 28 Lee High Away January 30 J.I. Burton Home* February 3 Clintwood Away* February 6 Powell Valley Home* February 10 J.J. Kelly Away* February 11 Coeburn Away February 13 Pound Home*

It goes through cycles most of the time. Looks like we're going to back a colder pattern now after this warmer stretch going into next week. Still got the rest of this month and then Feb. and March, where anything can happen, to go...maybe it'll turn around by then. Speaking of heavy and flooding rains, I seem to remember some years where good snows have followed weather like this.

Any one got a score/box score on the boys game?

Some more Arby's write-ups.. http://tricitiessports.com/default.asp?sourceid=&smenu=238&twindow=Default&mad=No&sdetail=&wpage=&skeyword=&sidate=&ccat=&ccatm=&restate=&restatus=&reoption=&retype=&repmin=&repmax=&rebed=&rebath=&subname=&pform=&sc=1131&hn=tricitiessports&he=.com

Twin Valley over Greeneville 45-39 in the consolation game of the final day in the Arby's. http://www.btcs.org/ths/arbysclassic/games/Game26.html'>http://www.btcs.org/ths/arbysclassic/games/Game26.html GC dropped their game with Bryan Station, 68-47, yesterday. TV"s Shortridge was one of the four that made it to the finals of the slam dunk contest. Knox Bearden's Nathan Parker beat Monsignor Pace's Darren Stewart in a dunk-off to win it. http://tricitiessports.com/default.asp?sourceid=&smenu=238&twindow=Default&mad=No&sdetail=&wpage=&skeyword=&sidate=&ccat=&ccatm=&restate=&restatus=&reoption=&retype=&repmin=&repmax=&rebed=&rebath=&subname=&pform=&sc=1131&hn=tricitiessports&he=.com They should have highlights up the dunk contest on their website site soon. Still have last year's up for now. http://www.btcs.org/ths/arbysclassic/