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2022 3rd round (Reg. Finals) pairings w/dates & times


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1-D
#3 Grundy (7-4) @ #1 Pat. Henry (GS) (9-3) - Sat @ 1 @ E&H

1-C
#4 Grayson Co. (10-2) @ #2 George Wythe (8-3) - Sat @ 1 


2-D
#2 Ridgeview (11-1) @ #1 Graham (12-0) - Sat @ 1 

2-C
#4 Appomattox Co. (9-3) @ #3 Glenvar (9-3) - Fri @ 7


3-D
#3 Christiansburg (9-3) @ #1 Lord Botetourt (11-1) - Fri @ 7

3-C
#2 Heritage-Lynchburg (10-2) @ #1 Liberty Christian (11-1) - Sat @ 7 @ Liberty U.

4-D
#3 Salem (10-2) @ #1 E.C. Glass (11-1) - Sat @ 5 @ City Stadium

4-C

(NW-1) Kettle Run (12-0) @ (DD-1) Loudoun County (12-0) - Sat @ 1 

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Final Eight Projections

(source: calpreps)

CLASS 1 PLAYOFFS
#3 Lunenburg Central (Victoria) (11-0) @ #1 Riverheads (Staunton) (9-1) FRI 7pm  [proj & % chances to win: Riverheads 35 (87%) Lunenburg Central 17 (13%)]
#7 King & Queen Central (King & Queen Court House) (10-2) at #2 Essex (Tappahannock) (12-0) SAT 1pm [proj & % chances to win: Essex 42 (95%) King & Queen Central 17 (5%)]
#8 Grundy (7-4) vs. #10 Patrick Henry (Glade Spring) (9-3) @ Emory & Henry College (Emory) SAT 1pm  [proj & % chances to win: Grundy 30 (57%) Patrick Henry (GS) 28 (43%)]
#5 Grayson Co (Independence) (10-2) @ #4 George Wythe (Wytheville) (8-3) SAT 1pm  [proj & % chances to win: George Wythe (W) 28 (57%) Grayson Co 26 (43%)]

CLASS 2 PLAYOFFS
#8 Appomattox Co (Appomattox) (9-3) @ #4 Glenvar (Salem) (9-3) FRI 7pm   [proj & % chances to win: Glenvar 28 (65%) Appomattox Co 21 (35%)]
#10 Poquoson (8-4) @ #9 King William (9-3) FRI 7pm  [proj & % chances to win: King William 28 (75%) Poquoson 17 (25%)]
#5 Central (Woodstock) (10-2) @ #2 Strasburg (11-0-1) FRI 7pm  [proj & % chances to win: Strasburg 21 (65%) Central (Woodstock) 14 (35%)]
#1 Graham (Bluefield) (12-0) vs. #3 Ridgeview (Clintwood) (11-1) @ Mitchell Stadium (Bluefield, WV), SAT 1pm   [proj & % chances to win: Graham 27 (62%) Ridgeview 21 (38%)]

CLASS 3 PLAYOFFS
#31 Warren Co (Front Royal) (7-5) @ #11 Brentsville District (Nokesville) (11-1) FRI 7pm [proj & % chances to win: Brentsville District 42 (98%) Warren Co 7 (2%)]
#8 Christiansburg (9-3) @ #5 Lord Botetourt (Daleville) (11-1) FRI 7pm   [proj & % chances to win: Lord Botetourt 31 (87%) Christiansburg 14 (13%)]
#2 Liberty Christian (Lynchburg) (11-1) vs #3 Heritage (Lynchburg) (12-2) @ Liberty U (Lynchburg) SAT 7pm [proj & % chances to win:Liberty Christian 20(62%) Heritage (Ly)14 (38%)]
#1 Phoebus (Hampton) (12-0) vs. #4 Lake Taylor (Norfolk) (11-1) @ Darling Stadium (Hampton), SAT 2pm  [proj & % chances to win: Phoebus 38 (94%) Lake Taylor 14 (6%)]

CLASS 4 PLAYOFFS
#9 Warwick (Newport News) (11-1) vs #8 King's Fork (Suffolk) (10-2) @Todd Stadium (Newport News), FRI 7pm [proj. & % chances to win: Warwick 21 (53%) King's Fork 20 (47%)]
#2 King George (11-0) @ #1 Dinwiddie (12-0) SAT 1:30pm   [proj & % chances to win: Dinwiddie 40 (88%) King George 21 (12%)]
#3 EC Glass (Lynchburg) (11-1) vs. #7 Salem @ City Stadium (Lynchburg) (10-2) SAT 5pm  [proj & % chances to win: EC Glass 28 (57%) Salem 6 (43%)]
#5 Kettle Run (Nokesville) (12-0) @ #6 Loudoun Co (Leesburg) (12-0) SAT 1pm   [proj & % chances to win: Kettle Run 28 (57%) Loudoun Co 26 (43%)]

CLASS 5 PLAYOFFS
#6 Kempsville (Virginia Beach) (11-1) @ #5 Green Run (Virginia Beach) (12-0) FRI 7pm [proj & % chances to win: Green Run 28 (65%) Kempsville 21 (35%)]
#4 Maury (Norfolk) (8-1) vs. #15 Nansemond River (Suffolk) (8-3) @ Powhatan Field (Norfolk), FRI 7pm   [proj & % chances to win: Maury 34 (95%) Nansemond River 8 (5%)]
#3 Mountain View (Stafford) (11-1) @ #2 Stone Bridge (Ashburn) (11-1) FRI 2pm   [proj & % chances to win: Stone Bridge 28 (60%) Mountain View (Stafford) 24 (40%)].                     #9 Lloyd C Bird (Chesterfield) (9-3) @ #1 Highland Springs (12-0) SAT 2pm [proj & % chances to win: Highland Springs 35 (97%) Lloyd C Bird 6 (3%)]                                                                                          

CLASS 6 PLAYOFFS                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  #8 South County (Lorton) (11-1) @ #2 Fairfax (12-0) SAT 1pm   [proj & % chances to win: Fairfax 38 (81%) South County 24 (19%)]
#3 Patriot (Nokesville) (11-1) @ #1 Freedom (Woodbridge) (12-0) SAT 1pm   [proj & % chances to win: Freedom (Woodbridge) 55 (94%) Patriot (Nokesville) 31 (6%)]
#7 Centreville (Clifton) (10-2) @ #12 James Madison (Vienna) (9-3) SAT 1pm   [proj & % chances to win: James Madison (Vienna) 24 (57%) Centreville 22 (43%)]
#4 Western Branch (Chesapeake) (10-2) @ #5 Manchester (Midlothian) (11-1) SAT 2pm  [proj & % chances to win: Western Branch 28 (60%) Manchester 24 (40%)]

 

 

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On Calpreps, those projections to win are based on the scoring margin. For example, if the scoring margin is 2 points in favor of Team A over Team B, then Team A historically wins 57% of the time. GW and Grayson is an example. They are predicting GW in a 2 point win and that means......tossup/flip a coin anybodies game to me,, but they get tossup games like this right 57 percent of the time. I think that is amazing imo. Over thousands upon thousands of games across the country, they should get a tossup type game right about 50 percent of the time, but they get it right 57 percent of the time. That's just alarmingly incredible, accurate to me.

 

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On 11/23/2022 at 12:52 PM, Liam McPoyle said:

#5 Kettle Run (Nokesville) (12-0) @ #6 Loudoun Co (Leesburg) (12-0) SAT 1pm

 

Lee High alum Charles Porterfield in his 7th season at Kettle Run. First undefeated season I believe. 3rd straight district title in the Northwester District 4A

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2 hours ago, Beamerball said:

 

Lee High alum Charles Porterfield in his 7th season at Kettle Run. First undefeated season I believe. 3rd straight district title in the Northwester District 4A

Porterfield. Heck of a player. Played with LW Carlton, the great linebacker if I'm thinking of the same Porterfield.

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14 minutes ago, GmanFan said:

Well, as to the Class 2 predictions, Calpreps is 0 for 3 so far. Here’s hoping the GMen prove them right today. 
 

You & me both!!!! Bring it boys!!!! Play “your” game & the best game of the season today!! Go GMen! 

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Calpreps projections got blown out the water in division 2 last night. Lookout Graham you might get bit by Ridgeview if the trend continues.  Will be rooting for Graham as they are less of a drive from Appomattox. 

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On 11/23/2022 at 12:52 PM, Liam McPoyle said:

CLASS 2 PLAYOFFS
#8 Appomattox Co (Appomattox) (9-3) @ #4 Glenvar (Salem) (9-3) FRI 7pm   [proj & % chances to win: Glenvar 28 (65%) Appomattox Co 21 (35%)]
#10 Poquoson (8-4) @ #9 King William (9-3) FRI 7pm  [proj & % chances to win: King William 28 (75%) Poquoson 17 (25%)]
#5 Central (Woodstock) (10-2) @ #2 Strasburg (11-0-1) FRI 7pm  [proj & % chances to win: Strasburg 21 (65%) Central (Woodstock) 14 (35%)]
#1 Graham (Bluefield) (12-0) vs. #3 Ridgeview (Clintwood) (11-1) @ Mitchell Stadium (Bluefield, WV), SAT 1pm   [proj & % chances to win: Graham 27 (62%) Ridgeview 21 (38%)]

 

 

 

Missed three out of four...going to hurt their playoff picking percentage.  May need to tweek that program a bit...

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6 minutes ago, GMan said:

Missed three out of four...going to hurt their playoff picking percentage.  May need to tweek that program a bit...

Yelp.. LOL..Not a banner week for the west coast nerds..They were also slightly off on Graham's margin of victory 

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