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VHSL State Semi-Finals Schedule (Classes 1-6) with CalPreps Projections


Liam McPoyle
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VHSL STATE SEMI-FINALS SCHEDULE WITH CALPREPS PROJECTIONS

SATURDAY, DEC 2, 2023

 

CLASS 1 
Altavista at Essex, 2:00pm   

Essex 34 Altavista 21 

Essex with an 80% chance of winning

 

Galax at Honaker, 2:00pm

Honaker 28 Galax 27 

Honaker with a 53% chance of winning

 

 

CLASS 2 
Radford vs. Graham at Christiansburg HS, 2:00pm   

Radford 31 Graham 28 

Radford with a 58% chance of winning

 

Poquoson at Riverheads, 1:00pm 

Riverheads 31 Poquoson 17 

Riverheads with an 81% chance of winning

 

 

CLASS 3
Lafayette at Brentsville District, 2:00pm   

Lafayette 27 Brentsville District 19 

Lafayette with a 72% chance of winning

 

William Byrd at Liberty Christian, 2:00pm   

Liberty Christian 31 William Byrd 14

Liberty Christian with an 87% chance of winning
 

 

 

CLASS 4 
King George at Phoebus, 2:00pm  

Phoebus 31 King George 21 

Phoebus with a 74% chance of winning

 

Salem at Tuscarora, 2:00pm   

Salem 31 Tuscarora 10 

Salem with a 90% chance of winning
 

 

 

CLASS 5 
Maury vs. Indian River at Powhatan Field (Norfolk), 2:00pm   

Maury 44 Indian River 14 

Maury with a 97% chance of winning

 

Matoaca at Stone Bridge, 2:00pm   

Stone Bridge 31 Matoaca 24

Stone Bridge with a 65% chance of winning

 

 

CLASS 6 
James Madison-Vienna at Freedom-Woodbridge, 2:00pm   

Freedom-Woodbridge 42  James Madison-Vienna 20

Freedom-Woodbridge with a 92% chance of winning

 

Lake Braddock at Highland Springs, 2:00pm 

Highland Springs 35 Lake Braddock 14

Highland Springs with a 90% chance of winning
 

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1 hour ago, Mountain Football said:

Graham is playing their best ball right now. Steady improvement as the season has progressed. A lot has been said about Clements and rightfully so but the O line has improved considerably. This game should be a fun one to watch.

I agree somewhat. The line likely improved. However, I also believe the health of Clements makes the O line look better. The line doesn’t have to hold blocks as long, and the rewards of opening the holes (no matter how small/brief) pays greater dividends.

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48 minutes ago, tornado99 said:

I agree somewhat. The line likely improved. However, I also believe the health of Clements makes the O line look better. The line doesn’t have to hold blocks as long, and the rewards of opening the holes (no matter how small/brief) pays greater dividends.

That is correct. This isn't a knock toward any kid on Graham's O line but Clements would make me look like a stellar left tackle. A crease is all he needs. 

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Calpreps is sneaky.  If you go to the projector and select 2 teams, the default for the pick is a neutral field.  

But, when you go to their Projections (projections for the weeks upcoming comes which account for home and away team) they then account for exactly that, where the game is played and in a very tight pick, the pick can be different like Galax and Honaker swapping that 1 point for a neutral field compared to a home game for Honaker.  Interestingly, they project Graham and Radford as a 31-28 win for Radford for the neutral site (head to head matchup) and for the Projections menu which accounts for where the game is played/home team-no difference in outcome, still a 31-28 win for Radford.

Sounds like Galax and Honaker are tight.  A while ago, they had Galax behind Honaker by 3 points on a Neutral Field.  Galax closed the gap on them and basically has had a 4 point swing over the past week or two.  Graham did the same thing with Radford.  It was 7 points a week or two ago from going by memory only.

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3 hours ago, Mountain Football said:

Graham is playing their best ball right now. Steady improvement as the season has progressed. A lot has been said about Clements and rightfully so but the O line has improved considerably. This game should be a fun one to watch.

 

1 hour ago, tornado99 said:

I agree somewhat. The line likely improved. However, I also believe the health of Clements makes the O line look better. The line doesn’t have to hold blocks as long, and the rewards of opening the holes (no matter how small/brief) pays greater dividends.

You're both right. The improvement on the line was very noticeable from game 1 to game 2. Would it have been as noticeable if a different back was running? Probably, but not as much. Clements ruled the day. No 2 ways about it.

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