Jump to content

2D/1D/1C Seeding Projections/Scenarios


Union_Fan
 Share

Recommended Posts

 

I just think with O ‘Quinn if RV would run a short passing game and let him get into a rhythm.  I mean it’s a bomb, run, bomb some series. I mean even the best qbs could not get in a rhythm with that.  

Link to comment
Share on other sites

 

1 D       up to date/current points

future games are without rider points included in the final games

P.H. 19.25   win/loss vs CHIL/NW 19.2/16.7

Grundy 19  win/loss vs central 19.56/18

R.C. 18.43  win/loss vs JIB/TS 19.89/16.44 

T.S. 17  win/loss  vs TW/RC  18.78/15.33

Hon  16.25 win/loss vs NW/FC 17.2/14.5

Hol  17.75  win/loss  vs RR/CH  16.6/14

Leb 15.56  win/loss vs RR  16.4/14.9

R.R. 15.43  win/loss vs HOL/LEB  17.8/14.22

J.I.B.  15.1  win/loss vs RC/TW  17.1/14

Hurley 14.88  win/loss vs Montcalm 16.78/14.67

If Northwood were to win out vs Hon/PH 15.7 or win at least 1 / 14.1

This could be an absolute nightmare for bottom 6 counting up rider points to see who makes it

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

 
3 hours ago, Smashmouth said:

1 D       up to date/current points

future games are without rider points included in the final games

P.H. 19.25   win/loss vs CHIL/NW 19.2/16.7

Grundy 19  win/loss vs central 19.56/18

R.C. 18.43  win/loss vs JIB/TS 19.89/16.44 

T.S. 17  win/loss  vs TW/RC  18.78/15.33

Hon  16.25 win/loss vs NW/FC 17.2/14.5

Hol  17.75  win/loss  vs RR/CH  16.6/14

Leb 15.56  win/loss vs RR  16.4/14.9

R.R. 15.43  win/loss vs HOL/LEB  17.8/14.22

J.I.B.  15.1  win/loss vs RC/TW  17.1/14

Hurley 14.88  win/loss vs Montcalm 16.78/14.67

If Northwood were to win out vs Hon/PH 15.7 or win at least 1 / 14.1

This could be an absolute nightmare for bottom 6 counting up rider points to see who makes it

 

Top ten teams listed above means two of them won't make it. Going to be interesting over the last two weeks in 1D play. Right on the money how close its going to end up. Grundy seems to be the best team in 1D, Hurley can get a truck load of points with win over Montcalm. PH,Honaker, and J.I.B. should win out. Could Rye Cove miss playoffs with two losses? Don't see Northwood winning either game averaging 6 points per game. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

 
 
 

1D makes it so difficult to predict.  Given the tougher schedule I'd say JIB is likely to have been battle tested enough to win vs R.C.  After R.C. has been down for a few years it would be great to see them at least make the playoffs.  Looking back, if R.C. had defeated Lee (28pts vs 11pts) they would be sitting there just over 20PPR and that's crazy to think about.  I believe that a couple of good teams aren't going to make it but after the past couple of years I wouldn't have imagined Lebanon being a force this soon and Honaker pulling the upset over P.H.  Grundy is hot right now, gonna be tough on whoever ends up going to Buchanan County for those games.  T.S. gonna get in if they win 1 for sure, most likely vs TW. Hurley wins, they're in.  R.C./JIB/R.R./LEB/HOL all so close.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

 
 

2C & 2D points (courtesy of Hawknation92 on Virginia Preps so if his math is wrong, it ain't on me)

 

1. Radford (8-0). 27.000
2. Martinsville (7-1). 24.626
3. Appomattox (6-3). 20.778
4. Glenvar (5-3). 20.625
5. Floyd (6-2). 20.375
6. Alleghany (5-4). 19.000
7. Dan River (4-4) 16.750
8. Gretna (3-5). 16.625
9. Chatham (4-4). 16.250
10. James River (3-5). 15.375
11. Patrick (2-6). 13.750
12. Nelson (1-7). 10.875

1. Graham (8-0). 27.000
2. Ridgeview (8-0). 25.500
3. Gate City (6-2). 21.750
4. Virginia (6-2). 21.625
5. Union (5-3). 20.375
6. Lee (5-3). 20.125
7. Tazewell (5-4). 18.556
8. Richlands (2-6). 15.125
9. Central (3-5). 14.750
10. Battle (1-7). 13.625
11. Marion (1-7). 11.625

Link to comment
Share on other sites

 
 
 

Just doing the math, if RC was to lose both games there is a worst case scenario for them missing the playoffs. Hurley beating Montcalm would be a big part of that. 
 

RC needs to win one of the last two to clinch a spot. I hope the two weeks off have been beneficial for my alma mater and no rust shows up on Friday in Norton. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

 
 
 

Graham 8-0                          Ridgeview  8-0        
 BLUEFIELD    18 +8    26    JI BURTON    16+8+2    26
TAZEWELL    18+10    28      GRUNDY    16+10+2    28
  RICHLAND    18+4    22            CENTRAL    18+6    24
     UNION    18+10    28                         LEE    18+10    28
     GALAX    16+8+2    26           RICHLANDS    18+4    22
G.WYTHE    16+10+2    28           UNION    18+10    28
      VHS    18+12    30                    JSBATTLE    18+2    20
   PULASKI     22 +8  30             ABINGDON    20+8    28
BLACKSBURG                        BLUEFIELD        
MARION                                   GATECITY        
                           27.5                                             25.5
Looks like it may very well be possible with rider points for RV to be #1

Link to comment
Share on other sites

 
 
 
1 hour ago, Smashmouth said:

Graham 8-0                          Ridgeview  8-0        
 BLUEFIELD    18 +8    26    JI BURTON    16+8+2    26
TAZEWELL    18+10    28      GRUNDY    16+10+2    28
  RICHLAND    18+4    22            CENTRAL    18+6    24
     UNION    18+10    28                         LEE    18+10    28
     GALAX    16+8+2    26           RICHLANDS    18+4    22
G.WYTHE    16+10+2    28           UNION    18+10    28
      VHS    18+12    30                    JSBATTLE    18+2    20
   PULASKI     22    22               ABINGDON    20+8    28
BLACKSBURG                        BLUEFIELD        
MARION                                   GATECITY        
                           26.25                                             25.5
Looks like it may very well be possible with rider points for RV to be #1

That’s crazy that Auburn could cost Graham 1st in PP. VHSL should count any teams that abruptly ended their seasons as a forfeit for opposing teams, in my opinion, lol. I’m sure Ridgeview feels differently. 😂

Link to comment
Share on other sites

 
 
 
2 hours ago, Gridiron60 said:

@Union_Fan Someone on the other board said an undefeated Ridgeview out points an undefeated Graham because of Auburn & Galax/GW not getting points for them. Can you verify this is accurate? 

It is possible. That's 4 guaranteed points that are now lost for Graham. Obviously, if Ridgeview were to lose to Bluefield or GC, then problem solved for the GMen. However, if both finish 10-0, M7 and SWD results will be a wash. I have them tied at 276 each, but that depends on the following:    Burton over Rye Cove and Thomas Walker, Pulaski and Richlands losing their remaining games, Galax and GW winning their remaining games.

One thing that could come into play would be Richlands/Va High. Richlands winning or losing to Crockett won't affect anything. However, If Richlands defeats Va High, Graham's points will stay the same while Ridgeview will gain 2.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

 
12 minutes ago, V-Cats said:

If Virginia High beats Marion and Richlands & Gate City loses to Ridgeview but beats Central, will VHS get the #3 seed?

Lebanon, Burton and Thomas Walker will decide.

Union needs Burton to defeat Rye Cove and Thomas Walker to defeat Twin Spring to get 3rd, regardless of what Lebanon does against Rural Retreat. If Lebanon loses, they only need Burton or TW to win their respective games.

GC needs Lebanon to win along with a lose by Burton to TW in the above mentioned games, or a Lebanon loss along with Burton and TW to get 3rd.

Va High needs Lebanon to win along with a lose by Burton to TW in the above mentioned games, or a Lebanon loss along with Burton and TW to get 4th. I don't see a viable path to 3rd for Va High.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

 
 
15 minutes ago, CPF said:

Graham is at 27.25 not 26.25. No way Ridgeview outpoints Graham.

Graham currently has 218 pts and Ridgeview has 204. Graham will get 22 pts for Blacksburg and 20 pts for Marion. Ridgeview would get 26 for Bluefield and 32 for GC.

Graham, 218 + 22 + 20 = 260
Ridgeview, 204 + 26 + 32 = 262

Just the remaining 2 games gets Ridgeview caught up with Graham. Then you factor in the rider pts.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

 
2 hours ago, Union_Fan said:

Graham currently has 218 pts and Ridgeview has 204. Graham will get 22 pts for Blacksburg and 20 pts for Marion. Ridgeview would get 26 for Bluefield and 32 for GC.

Graham, 218 + 22 + 20 = 260
Ridgeview, 204 + 26 + 32 = 262

Just the remaining 2 games gets Ridgeview caught up with Graham. Then you factor in the rider pts.

I guess there is a way then lol 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

 

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

Loading...
 Share

×
×
  • Create New...