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2D/1D/1C Seeding Projections/Scenarios


Union_Fan
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2 hours ago, 1inStripes said:

Here is where I have things going into the final week for 1D.  Wont guarantee 100% accuracy of course but I think we are close.

Screen Shot 2022-10-28 at 11.43.15 PM.png

I was honestly expecting the Hurley win over Montcalm to move them further up.  Who do they have in the final week?  Would be cool to see 3 BDD teams make it.

edit:  My schedule showed Twin Valley, which isn't happening obviously.  Did they pick up a replacement?

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So, just looking at the remaining games and making some assumptions, Holston is more than likely facing Twin Springs or Honaker (again, assuming they don't lay down against Chilhowie) in the first round of the playoffs?  Ummm. I pick Twin Springs.  I don't think anyone wants Honaker in the first round.

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5 hours ago, swva_havok_fan said:

I was honestly expecting the Hurley win over Montcalm to move them further up.  Who do they have in the final week?  Would be cool to see 3 BDD teams make it.

edit:  My schedule showed Twin Valley, which isn't happening obviously.  Did they pick up a replacement?

Next week is gravy for them though. Just add rider points and the divide by number remains the same. 

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8 hours ago, 1inStripes said:

Here is where I have things going into the final week for 1D.  Wont guarantee 100% accuracy of course but I think we are close.

Screen Shot 2022-10-28 at 11.43.15 PM.png

Region 1D has been more competitive and balanced this year than many years in the past. Thanks for the update.

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From other board, can’t vouch for accuracy.
 

1. Radford (8-1).                        26.444

2. Martinsville (8-1).                 25.111

3. Glenvar (6-3).                       22.667

4. Appomattox (7-3).               21.900

5. Alleghany (6-4).                   20.800

6. Floyd (6-3).                           19.778

7. Dan River (5-4).                    18.667

8. Gretna (4-5).                        17.667

9. Chatham (4-5).                    16.000

 

1. Graham (9-0).                        28.000

2. Ridgeview (8-1).                    24.556

3. Gate City (7-2).                     22.444

4. Virginia (7-2).                        22.111

5. Union (6-3).                          21.778

6. Lee (6-3).                              21.000

7. Tazewell (6-4).                     19.800

8. Richlands (2-7).                   15.889

9. Central (3-6).                      14.889

 

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Going into the final week, Graham at #1 and Tazewell at #7 are the only teams truly safe. The rest of the top 8 are absolutely not guaranteed. I didn't realize Abingdon was as weak as they are. 3 weeks ago, I would have never given Lee a chance to win that game, but now, I think it's a complete tossup. Happy for Rye Cove, but they really rained on Union's chance of hosting a 1st round game. All scenarios with Lebanon losing to RR because in the event of a 3 way tie, it will be Va High, GC and Union . If Lebanon wins, it would still be Va High, GC and Union.

Lee over Abingdon and Ridgeview over GC

Rank Team Record Total Points Rating
01.) Graham 10-0 282 28.2
02.) Ridgeview 9-1 259 25.9
03.) Lee 7-3 227 22.7
04.) Va High 8-2 224 22.4
05.) Gate City 7-3 224 22.4
06.) Union 7-3 224 22.4
07.) Tazewell 6-4 200 20
08.) Central-Wise 4-6 166 16.6

Lee over Abingdon, GC over Ridgeview

Rank Team Record Total Points Rating
01.) Graham 10-0 282 28.2
02.) Gate City 8-2 243 24.3
03.) Ridgeview 8-2 241 24.1
04.) Lee 7-3 227 22.7
05.) Va High 8-2 224 22.4
06.) Union 7-3 224 22.4
07.) Tazewell 6-4 200 20
08.) Central-Wise 4-6 166 16.6

Lee over Abingdon, GC over Ridgeview and Richlands over Va High

Rank Team Record Total Points Rating
01.) Graham 10-0 282 28.2
02.) Gate City 8-2 244 24.4
03.) Ridgeview 8-2 243 24.3
04.) Lee 7-3 227 22.7
05.) Union 7-3 226 22.6
06.) Va High 7-3 211 21.1
07.) Tazewell 6-4 200 20
08.) Richlands 3-7 179 17.9

Abingdon over Lee, GC over Ridgeview and Richlands over Va High

Rank Team Record Total Points Rating
01.) Graham 10-0 282 28.2
02.) Gate City 8-2 244 24.4
03.) Ridgeview 8-2 243 24.3
04.) Union 7-3 226 22.6
05.) Lee 6-4 212 21.2
06.) Va High 7-3 211 21.1
07.) Tazewell 6-4 200 20
08.) Richlands 3-7 180 18

Abingdon over Lee, Ridgeview over GC, Richlands over Va High

Rank Team Record Total Points Rating
01.) Graham 10-0 282 28.2
02.) Ridgeview 9-1 261 26.1
03.) Union 7-3 226 22.6
04.) Gate City 7-3 225 22.5
05.) Lee 6-4 212 21.2
06.) Va High 7-3 211 21.1
07.) Tazewell 6-4 200 20
08.) Richlands 3-7 179 17.9

Abingdon over Lee, GC over Ridgeview, Richlands over Va High

Rank Team Record Total Points Rating
01.) Graham 10-0 282 28.2
02.) Gate City 8-2 243 24.3
03.) Ridgeview 8-2 241 24.1
04.) Va High 8-2 224 22.4
05.) Union 7-3 224 22.4
06.) Lee 6-4 212 21.2
07.) Tazewell 6-4 200 20
08.) Central-Wise 4-6 166 16.6

 

I didn't do anything with the Central/Grundy game because, at this point, it only effects 2 teams. If Richlands defeats Va High OR Grundy defeats Central, Richlands gets the 8th seed.

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For 1D, Rye Cove, Pat Henry, Holston and Burton appear to be safe to get the wins in week 11. Honaker and Hurley are open, so no losses there. Grundy/Central will determine the #1 seed, either them or RC. Lebanon/RR will determine the final seed as Grundy, RC, PH, Holston, Honaker, TS and Hurley all appear to be safe.

Grundy over Central, Lebanon over RR

Rank Team Record Total Points Rating
01.) Grundy 6-3 192 21.33333
02.) Rye Cove 8-1 189 21
03.) Pat Henry-GS 7-3 205 20.5
04.) Holston 7-3 186 18.6
05.) Honaker 6-3 164 18.22222
06.) Twin Springs 6-3 162 18
07.) Lebanon 6-4 175 17.5
08.) Hurley 5-4 157 17.44444

Grundy over Central, RR over Lebanon

Rank Team Record Total Points Rating
01.) Grundy 6-3 192 21.33333
02.) Rye Cove 8-1 189 21
03.) Pat Henry-GS 7-3 205 20.5
04.) Holston 7-3 186 18.6
05.) Honaker 6-3 163 18.11111
06.) Twin Springs 6-3 162 18
07.) Hurley 5-4 157 17.44444
08.) Rural Retreat 5-4 151 16.77778

Central over Grundy, RR over Lebanon

Rank Team Record Total Points Rating
01.) Rye Cove 8-1 189 21
02.) Pat Henry-GS 7-3 203 20.3
03.) Grundy 5-4 178 19.77778
04.) Holston 7-3 186 18.6
05.) Honaker 6-3 162 18
06.) Twin Springs 6-3 162 18
07.) Hurley 5-4 156 17.33333
08.) Rural Retreat 5-4 151 16.77778

Central over Grundy, Lebanon over RR

Rank Team Record Total Points Rating
01.) Rye Cove 8-1 189 21
02.) Pat Henry-GS 7-3 203 20.3
03.) Grundy 5-4 178 19.77778
04.) Holston 7-3 186 18.6
05.) Honaker 6-3 163 18.11111
06.) Twin Springs 6-3 162 18
07.) Lebanon 6-4 175 17.5
08.) Hurley 5-4 156 17.33333

 

There is a possibility that Honaker and TS could tie for the 6th spot if Richalnds defeats Va High. I am unsure who would win that tie breaker.

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Nothing happened in 1C to really change anything. Galax will be the #1 seed if they defeat Grayson Co.

If Grayson upsets Galax, the final seeding will look something like this.

Rank Team Record Total Points Rating
01.) Grayson Co 9-1 209 20.9
02.) George Wythe 7-3 208 20.8
03.) Narrows 8-1 179 19.88889
04.) Galax 6-4 197 19.7
05.) Giles 3-5 131 16.375
06.) Covington 3-7 148 14.8
07.) Parry McCluer 4-6 146 14.6
08.) Bath Co 4-6 142 14.2
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8 minutes ago, Union_Fan said:

Nothing happened in 1C to really change anything. Galax will be the #1 seed if they defeat Grayson Co.

If Grayson upsets Galax, the final seeding will look something like this.

Rank Team Record Total Points Rating
01.) Grayson Co 9-1 209 20.9
02.) George Wythe 7-3 208 20.8
03.) Narrows 8-1 179 19.88889
04.) Galax 6-4 197 19.7
05.) Giles 3-5 131 16.375
06.) Covington 3-7 148 14.8
07.) Parry McCluer 4-6 146 14.6
08.) Bath Co 4-6 142 14.2

If Galax beats Grayson what will the seeds look like? I know you said Galax #1 but what about the rest?

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31 minutes ago, Union_Fan said:

For 1D, Rye Cove, Pat Henry, Holston and Burton appear to be safe to get the wins in week 11. Honaker and Hurley are open, so no losses there. Grundy/Central will determine the #1 seed, either them or RC. Lebanon/RR will determine the final seed as Grundy, RC, PH, Holston, Honaker, TS and Hurley all appear to be safe.

Grundy over Central, Lebanon over RR

Rank Team Record Total Points Rating
01.) Grundy 6-3 192 21.33333
02.) Rye Cove 8-1 189 21
03.) Pat Henry-GS 7-3 205 20.5
04.) Holston 7-3 186 18.6
05.) Honaker 6-3 164 18.22222
06.) Twin Springs 6-3 162 18
07.) Lebanon 6-4 175 17.5
08.) Hurley 5-4 157 17.44444

Grundy over Central, RR over Lebanon

Rank Team Record Total Points Rating
01.) Grundy 6-3 192 21.33333
02.) Rye Cove 8-1 189 21
03.) Pat Henry-GS 7-3 205 20.5
04.) Holston 7-3 186 18.6
05.) Honaker 6-3 163 18.11111
06.) Twin Springs 6-3 162 18
07.) Hurley 5-4 157 17.44444
08.) Rural Retreat 5-4 151 16.77778

Central over Grundy, RR over Lebanon

Rank Team Record Total Points Rating
01.) Rye Cove 8-1 189 21
02.) Pat Henry-GS 7-3 203 20.3
03.) Grundy 5-4 178 19.77778
04.) Holston 7-3 186 18.6
05.) Honaker 6-3 162 18
06.) Twin Springs 6-3 162 18
07.) Hurley 5-4 156 17.33333
08.) Rural Retreat 5-4 151 16.77778

Central over Grundy, Lebanon over RR

Rank Team Record Total Points Rating
01.) Rye Cove 8-1 189 21
02.) Pat Henry-GS 7-3 203 20.3
03.) Grundy 5-4 178 19.77778
04.) Holston 7-3 186 18.6
05.) Honaker 6-3 163 18.11111
06.) Twin Springs 6-3 162 18
07.) Lebanon 6-4 175 17.5
08.) Hurley 5-4 156 17.33333

 

There is a possibility that Honaker and TS could tie for the 6th spot if Richalnds defeats Va High. I am unsure who would win that tie breaker.

What happens if Twin Springs beats Rye Cove?

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26 minutes ago, Hokiebird7 said:

If Galax beats Grayson what will the seeds look like? I know you said Galax #1 but what about the rest?

Something like this...

Rank Team Record Total Points Rating
01.) Galax 7-3 216 21.6
02.) George Wythe 7-3 208 20.8
03.) Narrows 8-1 179 19.88888
04.) Grayson Co 8-2 192 19.2
05.) Giles 3-5 131 16.375
06.) Covington 3-7 147 14.7
07.) Parry McCluer 4-6 146 14.6
08.) Bath Co 4-6 142 14.2
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8 minutes ago, Grundy101 said:

What happens if Twin Springs beats Rye Cove?

I think the odds of that are very slim, but if it did...

Rank Team Record Total Points Rating
01.) Pat Henry-GS 7-3 202 20.2
02.) Twin Springs 7-2 180 20
03.) Grundy 5-4 178 19.77777
04.) Rye Cove 7-2 171 19
05.) Holston 7-3 186 18.6
06.) Honaker 6-3 163 18.11111
07.) Lebanon 6-4 175 17.5
08.) Hurley 5-4 155 17.22222
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3 hours ago, Union_Fan said:

For 1D, Rye Cove, Pat Henry, Holston and Burton appear to be safe to get the wins in week 11. Honaker and Hurley are open, so no losses there. Grundy/Central will determine the #1 seed, either them or RC. Lebanon/RR will determine the final seed as Grundy, RC, PH, Holston, Honaker, TS and Hurley all appear to be safe.

Grundy over Central, Lebanon over RR

Rank Team Record Total Points Rating
01.) Grundy 6-3 192 21.33333
02.) Rye Cove 8-1 189 21
03.) Pat Henry-GS 7-3 205 20.5
04.) Holston 7-3 186 18.6
05.) Honaker 6-3 164 18.22222
06.) Twin Springs 6-3 162 18
07.) Lebanon 6-4 175 17.5
08.) Hurley 5-4 157 17.44444

Grundy over Central, RR over Lebanon

Rank Team Record Total Points Rating
01.) Grundy 6-3 192 21.33333
02.) Rye Cove 8-1 189 21
03.) Pat Henry-GS 7-3 205 20.5
04.) Holston 7-3 186 18.6
05.) Honaker 6-3 163 18.11111
06.) Twin Springs 6-3 162 18
07.) Hurley 5-4 157 17.44444
08.) Rural Retreat 5-4 151 16.77778

Central over Grundy, RR over Lebanon

Rank Team Record Total Points Rating
01.) Rye Cove 8-1 189 21
02.) Pat Henry-GS 7-3 203 20.3
03.) Grundy 5-4 178 19.77778
04.) Holston 7-3 186 18.6
05.) Honaker 6-3 162 18
06.) Twin Springs 6-3 162 18
07.) Hurley 5-4 156 17.33333
08.) Rural Retreat 5-4 151 16.77778

Central over Grundy, Lebanon over RR

Rank Team Record Total Points Rating
01.) Rye Cove 8-1 189 21
02.) Pat Henry-GS 7-3 203 20.3
03.) Grundy 5-4 178 19.77778
04.) Holston 7-3 186 18.6
05.) Honaker 6-3 163 18.11111
06.) Twin Springs 6-3 162 18
07.) Lebanon 6-4 175 17.5
08.) Hurley 5-4 156 17.33333

 

There is a possibility that Honaker and TS could tie for the 6th spot if Richalnds defeats Va High. I am unsure who would win that tie breaker.

Pretty sure Honaker has Ft. Chiswell this week. Not sure if that changes anything. 

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